Tesla is often viewed as a bellwether for the lithium industry. But its staggering 42% year-to-date share price spiral serves as a reminder of the industry's profound challenges.
The electric vehicle company reported its earnings for the first three months of this year on Wednesday morning and pretty much everything missed analyst expectations.
Revenue down 8.7% year-on-year to US$21.3 billion
Production down 1.7% to 433,371 vehicles
Deliveries down 8.5% to 386,810 vehicles
Gross margin down 190 bps to 17.4%
Adjusted EPS down 47.1% to 45 US cents
Free cash flow down 673.9% to -US$2.5 billion
Revenue and EPS missed consensus by around 4.4% and 13.5% respectively, while analysts were looking for a positive cash flow figure of around US$654 million.
Despite the figures, Tesla shares are up 13.4% in post-market trade after Elon Musk pledged to accelerate the rollout of cheaper EV models. We'll highlight some of the key takeaways from the results below.
Tesla's investor presentation revealed plans to begin producing new affordable EVs by early 2025. The key quotes include:
"We have updated our future vehicle line-up to accelerate the launch of new models ahead of our previously communicated start of production in the second half of 2025."
"These new vehicles, including more affordable models, will utilise aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms, and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up."
"This update may result in achieving less cost reduction than previously expected but enables us to prudently grow our vehicle volumes in a more CAPEX-efficient manner during uncertain times. This would help us fully utilise our current expected maximum capacity of close to three million vehicles, enabling more than 50% growth over 2023 production before investing in new manufacturing lines."
The plan to undercut competitors (by potentially a wide margin) leaves Tesla's valuation to the imagination as opposed to disappointing and measurable fundamentals. Tesla has delivered on several ambitious goals in the past – so what's in store for the next 6-12 months?
Tesla has not seen revenue fall like this (in percentage terms) since 2012.
"Global EV sales continue to be under pressure as many carmakers prioritise hybrids over EVs," noted the investor presentation.
"While positive for our regulatory credits business, we prefer the industry to continue pushing EV adoption ... To support our growth, we have been increasing awareness and expanding vehicle financing programs, including attractive leasing terms for our customers."
Tesla expects vehicle volume growth in 2024 to be "notably lower than the growth rate achieved in 2023."
Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg dubbed 2023 as the "year of efficiency", which marked commitments to reduce headcount and cut underperforming projects.
Tesla is taking a similar approach to improve profitability and lower costs. "We recently undertook a cost-cutting exercise to increase operational efficiency. We also remain committed to company-wide cost reduction, including reducing COGS per vehicle," the company said.
Tesla is reportedly laying off more than 10% of its global workforce, according to Reuters. This has already impacted thousands of workers at its Texas and California-based factories.
Tesla could become an app that sits next to Uber on your phone in the not-too-distant future.
"We have been investing in the hardware and software ecosystems necessary to achieve vehicle autonomy and a ride-hailing service."
"We are currently working on ride-hailing functionality that will be available in the future. We believe the Tesla software experience is best-in-class across all our products, and plan to seamlessly layer ride-hailing into the Tesla App."
Ride-hailing peers like Uber and Lyft fell a respective 1.1% and 1.9% in after hours.
Get the latest news and insights direct to your inbox